Insight
Sports Mole previews Sunday’s international friendlies clash between USA and Uruguay, including predictions, team news and possible rosters.
Form, classification, statistics
Sunday June 5 at 10 p.m. in International Friendly Matches
Saturday June 11 at 3 a.m. in the Concacaf Nations League
Sunday June 5 at 10 p.m. in International Friendly Matches
We said: USA 0-1 Uruguay
As good as the Americans looked at home in Morocco, La Celeste will be a much tougher unit to get through because they follow you everywhere and don’t give you a ton of space. We expect it to be a tight affair with few chances either way, but that should favor Uruguay, who know how to win ugly games, while the USA tend to get frustrated when they are at odds. short of pace. Read more.
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up to an hour before kick-off, suggested that the most likely outcome of this game was a Uruguay win with a probability of 39.15%. A victory for UNITED STATES had a probability of 35.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely score for a Uruguay winning was 0-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scores for this outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.33%). Most likely UNITED STATES winning was 1-0 (8.33%)whereas for a drawn score line it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual score of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% probability.
Results | ||
UNITED STATES | To draw | Uruguay |
35.54% ( -0.05) | 25.32% (![]() |
39.15% (![]() |
The two teams mark 56.51% (![]() |
52.78% (![]() |
47.23% (![]() |
30.55% (![]() |
69.46% (![]() |
74.19% (![]() |
25.81% (![]() |
More than 1.5 | Less than 1.5 |
39.23% (![]() |
60.77% (![]() |
76.16% | 23.84% (![]() |
More than 1.5 | Less than 1.5 |
41.98% (![]() |
58.02% (![]() |
United States 35.54%
Uruguay 39.15%
Draw 25.31%
How you voted: United States v Uruguay
76
straight 2.0

Argentinian Primera Division
Primera Uruguayan division
